Fossil Group Stock Analysis
| FOSL Stock | USD 3.80 0.12 3.06% |
IPO Date 8th of April 1993 | 200 Day MA 1.8335 | 50 Day MA 2.5696 | Beta 1.638 |
Fossil Group holds a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.266. At this time, Fossil's Long Term Debt To Capitalization is quite stable compared to the past year. Total Debt To Capitalization is expected to rise to 0.64 this year, although the value of Short Term Debt will most likely fall to about 26 M. Fossil's financial risk is the risk to Fossil stockholders that is caused by an increase in debt.
Asset vs Debt
Equity vs Debt
Fossil's liquidity is one of the most fundamental aspects of both its future profitability and its ability to meet different types of ongoing financial obligations. Fossil's cash, liquid assets, total liabilities, and shareholder equity can be utilized to evaluate how much leverage the Company is using to sustain its current operations. For traders, higher-leverage indicators usually imply a higher risk to shareholders. In addition, it helps Fossil Stock's retail investors understand whether an upcoming fall or rise in the market will negatively affect Fossil's stakeholders.
For many companies, including Fossil, marketable securities, inventories, and receivables are the most common assets that could be converted to cash. However, for Fossil Group, the most critical issue when managing liquidity is ensuring that current assets are properly aligned with current liabilities. If they are not, Fossil's management will need to obtain alternative financing to ensure there are always enough cash equivalents on the balance sheet to meet obligations.
Price Book 1.9629 | Enterprise Value Ebitda (2.76) | Price Sales 0.2073 | Shares Float 44.5 M | Wall Street Target Price 5 |
Fossil Group is undervalued with Real Value of 4.23 and Target Price of 5.0. The main objective of Fossil stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Fossil Group is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Fossil's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Fossil stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA.
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Fossil Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in producer price index. Fossil Stock Analysis Notes
About 50.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.96. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Fossil Group recorded a loss per share of 1.11. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 3:2 split on the 12th of April 2004. Fossil Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, markets, and distributes consumer fashion accessories in the United States, Europe, Asia, and internationally. Fossil Group, Inc. was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Richardson, Texas. Fossil operates under Luxury Goods classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 6900 people. To learn more about Fossil Group call Franco Fogliato at 972 234 2525 or check out https://www.fossilgroup.com.Fossil Quarterly Total Revenue |
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Fossil Group Investment Alerts
| Fossil Group is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Fossil Group appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.14 B. Net Loss for the year was (106.28 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 604.08 M. | |
| Fossil Group has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Randy Greben of 105000 shares of Fossil subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Fossil Largest EPS Surprises
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Fossil's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
| Reported | Fiscal Date | Estimated EPS | Reported EPS | Surprise | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019-08-07 | 2019-06-30 | -0.05 | -0.04 | 0.01 | 20 | ||
1997-08-12 | 1997-06-30 | 0.07 | 0.08 | 0.01 | 14 | ||
1997-02-20 | 1996-12-31 | 0.1 | 0.11 | 0.01 | 10 |
Fossil Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores
Fossil's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Fossil's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Fossil's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Fossil's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.
Fossil Stock Institutional Investors
Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc | 2025-06-30 | 425.2 K | Susquehanna International Group, Llp | 2025-06-30 | 367.6 K | Ubs Group Ag | 2025-06-30 | 357.8 K | Fund 1 Investments Llc | 2025-06-30 | 270 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2025-06-30 | 223.4 K | Rbf Llc | 2025-06-30 | 209.1 K | State Street Corp | 2025-06-30 | 198.8 K | Amvescap Plc. | 2025-06-30 | 176.2 K | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2025-06-30 | 145.4 K | Nantahala Capital Management, Llc | 2025-06-30 | 5.1 M | Patient Capital Management | 2025-06-30 | 3.5 M |
Fossil Market Capitalization
The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 112.95 M.Fossil Profitablity
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (0.05) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.07 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.07.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.13) | (0.15) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.27) | (0.26) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.13) | (0.15) | |
| Return On Equity | (0.79) | (0.75) |
Management Efficiency
Fossil Group has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.0221 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.0221 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (0.393) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Fossil's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Fossil manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. The value of Return On Tangible Assets is estimated to slide to -0.15. Return On Capital Employed is expected to rise to -0.26 this year. At this time, Fossil's Debt To Assets are quite stable compared to the past year. Fixed Asset Turnover is expected to rise to 10.67 this year, although the value of Intangible Assets will most likely fall to about 1.1 M.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Book Value Per Share | 2.32 | 2.21 | |
| Tangible Book Value Per Share | 2.31 | 2.19 | |
| Enterprise Value Over EBITDA | (3.89) | (3.69) | |
| Price Book Value Ratio | 0.68 | 0.65 | |
| Enterprise Value Multiple | (3.89) | (3.69) | |
| Price Fair Value | 0.68 | 0.65 | |
| Enterprise Value | 532.1 M | 359.7 M |
Leadership at Fossil emphasizes sustainable growth and financial prudence. Our analysis evaluates how these priorities impact the stock's performance in the market.
Technical Drivers
As of the 13th of February 2026, Fossil shows the Coefficient Of Variation of 415.13, downside deviation of 4.72, and Mean Deviation of 4.43. Fossil Group technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Fossil Group variance, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the Value At Risk and skewness to decide if Fossil Group is priced favorably, providing market reflects its regular price of 3.8 per share. Given that Fossil has jensen alpha of 1.27, we urge you to verify Fossil Group's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.Fossil Group Price Movement Analysis
Illegal number of arguments. The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of zero. The Weighted Moving Average calculates a weight for each value in Fossil price series with the more recent values given greater weights.
Fossil Group Insider Trading Activities
Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Fossil insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Fossil's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Fossil insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
Randy Greben over a week ago Acquisition by Randy Greben of 105000 shares of Fossil subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Melissa Lowenkron over six months ago Disposition of 1977 shares by Melissa Lowenkron of Fossil at 5.71 subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Sunil Doshi over a year ago Acquisition by Sunil Doshi of 24519 shares of Fossil subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Gregory McKelvey over a year ago Disposition of 20675 shares by Gregory McKelvey of Fossil at 3.22 subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Rey Marc over a year ago Acquisition by Rey Marc of 9811 shares of Fossil subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Melissa Lowenkron over a year ago Disposition of 4647 shares by Melissa Lowenkron of Fossil at 88.0 subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Corrie Pamela B over a year ago Disposition of tradable shares by Corrie Pamela B of Fossil subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Fossil Outstanding Bonds
Fossil issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Fossil Group uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Fossil bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Fossil Group has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.
| MPLX LP 4125 Corp BondUS55336VAK61 | View | |
| Valero Energy Partners Corp BondUS91914JAA07 | View |
Fossil Predictive Daily Indicators
Fossil intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Fossil stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.
| Accumulation Distribution | 10312.71 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.67) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | |||
| Day Median Price | 3.83 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 3.82 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.09) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.12) |
Fossil Forecast Models
Fossil's time-series forecasting models are one of many Fossil's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Fossil's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.Fossil Bond Ratings
Fossil Group financial ratings play a critical role in determining how much Fossil have to pay to access credit markets, i.e., the amount of interest on their issued debt. The threshold between investment-grade and speculative-grade ratings has important market implications for Fossil's borrowing costs.| Piotroski F Score | 3 | Frail | View |
| Beneish M Score | (2.66) | Unlikely Manipulator | View |
Fossil Group Debt to Cash Allocation
Many companies such as Fossil, eventually find out that there is only so much market out there to be conquered, and adding the next product or service is only half as profitable per unit as their current endeavors. Eventually, the company will reach a point where cash flows are strong, and extra cash is available but not fully utilized. In this case, the company may start buying back its stock from the public or issue more dividends.
Fossil Group currently holds 315.83 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.27, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Fossil Group has a current ratio of 2.32, suggesting that it is liquid enough and is able to pay its financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Fossil's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.Fossil Total Assets Over Time
Fossil Assets Financed by Debt
The debt-to-assets ratio shows the degree to which Fossil uses debt to finance its assets. It includes both long-term and short-term borrowings maturing within one year. It also includes both tangible and intangible assets, such as goodwill.Fossil Debt Ratio | 39.0 |
Fossil Corporate Bonds Issued
Fossil Short Long Term Debt Total
Short Long Term Debt Total |
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About Fossil Stock Analysis
Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Fossil prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Fossil shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Fossil. By using and applying Fossil Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Fossil entry and exit points for their positions.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Pretax Profit Margin | (0.12) | (0.11) | |
| Operating Profit Margin | (0.10) | (0.10) | |
| Net Loss | (0.10) | (0.10) | |
| Gross Profit Margin | 0.47 | 0.41 |
Current Fossil Analysis - Recommendations
We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Fossil analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Fossil analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 5.0 | Strong Sell | 0 | Odds |
Most Fossil analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Fossil stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Fossil Group, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Fossil conference calls.
Fossil Analyst Advice DetailsFossil Stock Analysis Indicators
Fossil Group stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Fossil stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Fossil shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Fossil stock analysis, traders can identify Fossil position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 121.6 M | |
| Total Stockholder Equity | 148.7 M | |
| Capital Lease Obligations | 151 M | |
| Property Plant And Equipment Net | 163 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 123.6 M | |
| Cash | 123.6 M | |
| 50 Day M A | 2.5696 | |
| Net Interest Income | -14.6 M | |
| Total Current Liabilities | 326.6 M | |
| Investments | 4 M | |
| Interest Expense | 19 M | |
| Stock Based Compensation | 2.9 M | |
| Long Term Debt | 162.7 M | |
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 53 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | 4 M | |
| Tax Provision | -11.8 M | |
| Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y | -0.817 | |
| Accounts Payable | 157.6 M | |
| Net Debt | 192.2 M | |
| Other Operating Expenses | 1.2 B | |
| Non Current Assets Total | 209.1 M | |
| Liabilities And Stockholders Equity | 763.6 M | |
| Non Currrent Assets Other | 18.8 M |
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Fossil Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in producer price index. You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.
Is Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Fossil. Market participants price Fossil higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Fossil assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.82) | Earnings Share (1.11) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.15) | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate Fossil Group using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Fossil's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Fossil's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fossil's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fossil is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Fossil's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.